Cowardice of foresight

In a seminar about regional foresight a a few months ago there was a call to break away from a “foresight bubble”. This meant being more aware of the implicit assumptions we foresight experts tend to make, which may not be that clear to others. The latest hype is old news in foresight community, which always tries to […]

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Singing the future

If teaching foresight and futures thinking would be done through a musical, which songs would it include? What songs are there that either describe an image of a future or illustrate some key thought in futures thinking? Here’s my suggestion. In the year 2525, if man is still alive For an opening song and an […]

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Knowledge creation in foresight

This post is based on the Lectio Praecursoria I gave at the public examination of my dissertation 22.1.2016. People have been fascinated about future since the dawn of civilisation. In a hope to know what will happen, people have turned to different fortune tellers or oracles, who have claimed to know the future, but have […]

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Systems intelligent foresight

In December 2014, Torsten Slok from Deutsche Bank posted a graph showing how Wall Street economists had been consistently wrong in their forecasts about the 10-year interest rate. While the forecasts shown in the graph may be extreme examples of linear thinking about the futures, many forecasts fall in the same trap of extrapolating or […]

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