The horizon scanning zoo

What better place to go and see the future than the horizon scanning zoo! Here you can see all the magnificent beasts, which tell their story of the futures. Just follow this field guide and enjoy the (fore)sights! Black swans Near the entrance, in the most popular spot, are the black swans, swimming unexpectedly in […]

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Renewing regional foresight

Last week I participated to a seminar on regional foresight at Tampere. During the seminar my view that Finland has a great foresight tradition was enhanced. However, at the same time there seemed to be a concern of being stuck regarding the impact of foresight, applying futures knowledge and supporting decision making. Here are three key take-away […]

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Mitä ennakointi voi oppia Kalevalasta?

Suomen kansalliseepos on 181 vuotta vanha ja sen sisältämät runot vielä runsaasti vanhempia. Iästään huolimatta se sisältää runsaasti edelleen ajankohtaisia tarinoita ja oppeja, joihin viitataan edelleen. Mutta mitä annettavaa sillä on tulevaisuuden ennakointiin?  Tässä viisi asiaa, jotka hyödyttävät sekä ennakoinnin prosessia, että vaihtoehtoisten tulevaisuuskuvien sisältöä. 1. Kielikuvat Kalevala tarjoaa runsaasti kielikuvia vaihtoehtoisten tulevaisuuksien kuvailemiseksi. Lauletaanko meidät […]

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Knowledge creation in foresight

This post is based on the Lectio Praecursoria I gave at the public examination of my dissertation 22.1.2016. People have been fascinated about future since the dawn of civilisation. In a hope to know what will happen, people have turned to different fortune tellers or oracles, who have claimed to know the future, but have […]

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Systems intelligent foresight

In December 2014, Torsten Slok from Deutsche Bank posted a graph showing how Wall Street economists had been consistently wrong in their forecasts about the 10-year interest rate. While the forecasts shown in the graph may be extreme examples of linear thinking about the futures, many forecasts fall in the same trap of extrapolating or […]

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Let’s get ridiculous

“Every useful idea about the future should appear to be ridiculous.” That is the second ”Dator’s Law of the Future”, aimed to guide futurists in their work of exploring alternative futures. There is also a caveat: not all ridiculous ideas turn out to be useful. Nonetheless, the message behind this slogan is that the added […]

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