What better place to go and see the future than the horizon scanning zoo! Here you can see all the magnificent beasts, which tell their story of the futures. Just follow this field guide and enjoy the (fore)sights! Black swans Near the entrance, in the most popular spot, are the black swans, swimming unexpectedly in […]Read more "The horizon scanning zoo"
Last week I participated to a seminar on regional foresight at Tampere. During the seminar my view that Finland has a great foresight tradition was enhanced. However, at the same time there seemed to be a concern of being stuck regarding the impact of foresight, applying futures knowledge and supporting decision making. Here are three key take-away […]Read more "Renewing regional foresight"
Kalevala, the national epic of Finland, is 181 years old and the poems it contains date even further back into history. Despite its age, it contains stories and insights that are relevant even today, even for a future-oriented foresight professional. Here are five things foresight can learn from Kalevala. 1. Metaphors Kalevala contains numerous metaphors […]Read more "5 things foresight can learn from Kalevala"
Suomen kansalliseepos on 181 vuotta vanha ja sen sisältämät runot vielä runsaasti vanhempia. Iästään huolimatta se sisältää runsaasti edelleen ajankohtaisia tarinoita ja oppeja, joihin viitataan edelleen. Mutta mitä annettavaa sillä on tulevaisuuden ennakointiin? Tässä viisi asiaa, jotka hyödyttävät sekä ennakoinnin prosessia, että vaihtoehtoisten tulevaisuuskuvien sisältöä. 1. Kielikuvat Kalevala tarjoaa runsaasti kielikuvia vaihtoehtoisten tulevaisuuksien kuvailemiseksi. Lauletaanko meidät […]Read more "Mitä ennakointi voi oppia Kalevalasta?"
This post is based on the Lectio Praecursoria I gave at the public examination of my dissertation 22.1.2016. People have been fascinated about future since the dawn of civilisation. In a hope to know what will happen, people have turned to different fortune tellers or oracles, who have claimed to know the future, but have […]Read more "Knowledge creation in foresight"
Terminator Genisys might at first glance not be the most profound movie ever made. The plot logic is a leap into the absurd (although to the familiar Hollywood absurd), the characters are shallow and the amount of explosions and big guns is overwhelming. In other words a typical and enjoyable “switch off your brains and […]Read more "5 things I learned from Terminator Genisys"
In December 2014, Torsten Slok from Deutsche Bank posted a graph showing how Wall Street economists had been consistently wrong in their forecasts about the 10-year interest rate. While the forecasts shown in the graph may be extreme examples of linear thinking about the futures, many forecasts fall in the same trap of extrapolating or […]Read more "Systems intelligent foresight"
“Every useful idea about the future should appear to be ridiculous.” That is the second ”Dator’s Law of the Future”, aimed to guide futurists in their work of exploring alternative futures. There is also a caveat: not all ridiculous ideas turn out to be useful. Nonetheless, the message behind this slogan is that the added […]Read more "Let’s get ridiculous"
Preferable futures are often imagined and decided upon by those who will not actually live in them. In other words, the youth are or at least have been often ignored in foresight. Therefore there is a bit of a paternalistic perspective in foresight: the current dominant generation seems to knows what is best for the next […]Read more "From paternalism to cocreation: the youth in foresight"
(This is a follow-up post to ”Participation in foresight – five key questions”) While there is a whole variety of different ways of participating in foresight, I list here three common and in my opinion representative types. They should be seen more as archetypes used in discussion around participation in foresight rather than descriptions of […]Read more "Three common types of participation in foresight"